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Google’s $126 Billion Waymo Bet Has Massive Upside and a Critical Risk

Waymo’s $126 billion valuation may be only the starting point. The real question is whether 500,000 weekly driverless rides can produce economics strong enough to reshape Alphabet.
Rick Orford Written by: Rick Orford
Mike Reyes Edited by: Mike Reyes
Last Updated August 31, 2026
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Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) may be sitting on a transportation asset that investors still struggle to value. Waymo’s $126 billion private valuation and more than 500,000 weekly autonomous rides show commercial scale, but the bigger upside depends on whether zero-driver economics improve as the fleet grows. If margins strengthen alongside expansion, Waymo could become a second major growth platform inside Alphabet.

Stock prices used were the market prices of Aug. 18, 2026. The video was published on Aug. 30, 2026. On the date of publication, Rick Orford did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this video.

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